News: Vancouver Real Estate Market

Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement - BCREA ECONOMICS NOW

    As anticipated, the Bank of Canada maintained its target rate at 1 per cent this morning. On inflation, the Bank noted that it " expects the inflation rate to decline as a result of reduced pressures from food and energy prices and ongoing excess supply in the economy." The Bank expects a weaker external outlook and the ongoing sovereign debt crisis in Europe to dampen Canadian economic growth in the near future.

Although markets have been pricing in a rate cut of late, our baseline view is that the Bank of Canada is unlikely to move on interest rates absent a serious escalation of the Euro-zone crisis.

Even without an escalation of the Euro-crisis, 2012 will be a challenging year in the global economy. The uncertainty and austerity imposed in Europe will almost certainly cause much of the EU to fall into a recession. Moreover the fiscal drag from fading stimulus and further cuts to government spending will subtract from growth in the United States. Given these challenges, our current forecast is for the Bank of Canada to stay on the sidelines for much of 2012 with the possibility of a 25 basis point rate increase coming toward the end of next year.

 

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

Comments:
No comments

Post Your Comment:

Blogs
Posts By Date
Categories
The data relating to real estate on this website comes in part from the MLS® Reciprocity program of either the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV), the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB) or the Chilliwack and District Real Estate Board (CADREB). Real estate listings held by participating real estate firms are marked with the MLS® logo and detailed information about the listing includes the name of the listing agent. This representation is based in whole or part on data generated by either the REBGV, the FVREB or the CADREB which assumes no responsibility for its accuracy. The materials contained on this page may not be reproduced without the express written consent of either the REBGV, the FVREB or the CADREB.